…from the quill of Antisthenes the Younger
Trump’s recent speech (or was it a twit? Or a tweet? I’m not au courant with modern ways of making friends and influencing people) on Cuba was quite encouraging, marred only by the almost certainty that the hilarocracy running his administration will not allow any deviance from Obama’s embrace of Castros’ version of socialist dictatorship. A cynic may suspect that good Donald knows that. One may also suspect that Trump is unlikely to make a similar speech on Communist China, which deserves it more than relatively insignificant Cuba.
It is likely that Cuban people want freedom and democracy. The question is which type? US ? Russian ? British? Hopefully not Turkish. All systems are under strain, some are in the final stages of decay and do not set an appetising example. While one should not assume that the European, GRU manipulated intifada (shaking off shackles) would be a precedent for democratic or quasi-democratic change in Cuba, the stakes for the Big Money are high. When the last Castro bites the dust, some change will happen and Cuba will open to foreign business and influence. Possibly Chinese, but most likely American. That means the Big Money will take over the benighted country, create local consumers of imported merchandise, create service economy, sex service economy, gambling and associated crime. The Big Money certainly would not wish to create any serious competition be it in sugar, cigars or rum. As Cuba’s infrastructure has not been maintained since Batista’s times one can expect the usual nepotism,bribes and corruption under the guise of “help”. The Clintons’ “charity” predations in Haiti spring to mind.
Cuban people are, or will be shortly, between a rock and the hard place – still, getting rid of murderous dictatorship despite the US progies’ support for it will be a good step. Appropriate punishment of those who kept the people in a dysfunctional socialist yoke for more than a half of century would be a good next step, for when you do not punish the perpetrators, you are punishing the victims the second time and give the oppressors another chance. And next? There is no easy, obvious answer. Could little Cuba defeat the rapacious, power grabbing Big Money? So far, nobody even tried.